Topic 10
Executive institutions and politics I: The presidency
THE CONSTITUTIONAL BASIS: Article II
Section 1. The executive power shall be vested
in a President
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Elected for a fixed term of 4 years
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as qualified by Amendment XXII (the first American term limit)
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Selected by an Electoral College
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as qualified by Amendment XII.
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(Originally, the Framers expected the vice president to be
the person who came in second, as if Bob Dole would have been Clinton's
VP. After parties began to run "tickets" of a team of candidates for P
and VP, this led to a tie between Jefferson and Aaron Burr in 1800.
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By Amendment XII (ratified 1804) the candidates for P and
VP are listed and counted separately
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It is still the case that the votes in the Electoral College
are allocated by a formula wherein each state has a number of votes equal
to its membership in the House and Senate, e.g. CA: 52+2; PA: 21+2;WY:
1+2, etc.
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This obviously violates the one person, one vote norm.
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Most states allocate their electoral votes as a bloc to
the winner of a plurality of popular votes in their state. (Exceptions,
ME and NE)
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It is obviously possible for a candidate to have fewer popular
votes than another, but to win in the Electoral College. This happened
in 1888, when incumbent president Grover Cleveland got more popular votes
than Benjamin Harrison, but Harrison got more electoral votes and won the
office. It seems to be happening in 2000.
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How bad is this? Consider the ways in which direct election
can choose a Condorcet loser. (Consider 1860 and 1912. I believe that Douglas
could have beaten Lincoln in a two way race in 1860, and that T. Roosevelt
could have beaten Wilson in a two way race in 1912.)
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When there are more than two candidates, there is no method
of election that is fully satisfactory.
Section 2. The president shall be Commander in Chief
of the army, navy and militia.
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Truman desegregated the armed forces in 1948 with an executive
order based on this power.
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It was on the basis of this power that Clinton issued his
"don’t ask, don't tell" policy regarding gays in the military.
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Uses of American armed forces abroad:
| 1798-1900 |
106 |
| 1901-1994 |
133 |
| |
|
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Make treaties with advice and consent of 2/3 of the Senate.
| |
Treaties |
Executive agreements |
| 1789-1839 |
60
|
27
|
| Reagan |
125
|
2,840
|
| Bush |
67
|
1,350
|
| Clinton (through 1996 |
97
|
1,137
|
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land mine treaty
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test ban treaty
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Appoint ambassadors, judges and other public ministers, with
the advice and consent of the Senate (simple majority)
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Give information on the State of the Union
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Take care that the laws be faithfully executed.
PRESIDENT, CONGRESS AND WAR
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Article I, section 8: Congress shall have the power to declare
war.
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Only 5 declarations of war: 1812,1846, 1898, 1917, 1941 relative
to >239 unilateral military actions
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Other wars: Korea, Vietnam, Gulf
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Politics election promises and war. What does this say about
the credibility of politicians?
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1916 "He kept us out of war."
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1940 "Your boys will not be sent into any foreign war."(see
385-6 in Shepsle)
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1964 Johnson, the peace candidate. The joke.
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War and retrospective voting in presidential elections.
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Defeat of incumbent parties: 1920, 1952, 1968, 1976 (why?)
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Victories of incumbent parties: 1944, 1972 (why?)
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How could Nixon, who won in 1968, saying he had a plan to
end the war, win in a landslide in 1972 after four more years of war? A
spatial model.
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1968: HHH: 4.05; Voters: 4.13; Nixon: 4.39
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1972: McGovern: 1.8; Nixon: 4.6
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Note also the reduction in American battle deaths; Vietnamization
of the war.
PRESIDENTIAL POWER OF UNILATERAL ACTION
Examples (as well as the above information on executive
orders and military actions without declaration of war):
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Louisiana Purchase (Jefferson)
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Annexation of Texas (Polk)
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Emancipation Proclamation (Lincoln)
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Internment of the Japanese in World War II (FD Roosevelt)
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Desegregation of the military (Truman)
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End discrimination against homosexuality in the military
(Clinton)
All but the last one was let stand. Why?
Another spatial model:
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_____________C___________________V_________________P____
where C is the ideal point of a unicameral Congress, for
example the position occupied by the median member when the issue involves
a single dimension,
P is the President's ideal point,
and V is the point at which a presidential veto can be sustained. (Two
thirds of the Congress is at V or to the left of it.)
If the president chooses P, his ideal point, he will probably
be overridden by Congressional action.
Congress might choose C, but the president could veto
that, and Congress could not override (because 2/3 of Congress agree only
that policy should be no further towards P than V).
The point nearest to the president's ideal point that
cannot be overridden is V, so the president will choose something near
V.
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From 1973-1997, Presidents issued about 1,000 executive orders.
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Congress only tried to overturn 37 of them.
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Only 3 of 37 became law.
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Seemingly presidents act unilaterally when they think they
are within the range of where they could issue a sustainable veto of a
Congressional effort to override their action.
Presumably, Clinton's action regarding gays in the military
was beyond the veto pivot.